63towin (VII)

The evolution of the National Assembly seat projections since the last election, as given by running the polls graphed below through two differents votes-into-seats models. Each data point represents the average of the two projections for each party in each poll. For graphic purposes, the mid-point of the polling period is used as the date of the poll. The solid line is a four-poll moving average of seat projections. The vertical scale is in cohorts of nine; 63, an even multiple of nine, is a bare majority:

And again, the same data since the start of the campaign: