According to the latest CRA poll, with fieldwork done in February, 80% of respondents would have voted for The Party in a real election.
80%.
That's 10% higher than The Party actually polled in the last real election.
On Tuesday night in Topsail district, and in a real (by-)election, The Party polled 6% lower than it actually polled in the last real election in that same district. Yes, you've seen this movie before. Repeatedly.
The preliminary numerical turnout was 3349 — a 40% reduction over the 5576 who voted in 2007.
For those keeping track, that is the third-most-anemic by-election turnout, measured against the previous general election, in provincial electoral history. (Only Kilbride 2007 and St. John's West 1997 were more anemic.)
And only 16% would be "no-shows".
ReplyDeleteThe undecidied and "will not vote" was a mere 16%.
It turned out to be 67%.