labradore

"We can't allow things that are inaccurate to stand." — The Word of Our Dan, February 19, 2008.

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Reading the Entrails (2008) (I)

Voter Turnout


2007 
Baie Verte—Springdale 55.5%
Cape St. Francis 70.7%

2008
Baie Verte—Springdale 43.4%
Cape St. Francis 43.2%

Number of votes:
2007                    Lib     PC      NDP
Baie Verte—Springdale 798 3388 301
Cape St. Francis 739 4983 680

2008
Baie Verte—Springdale 1245 1979 316
Cape St. Francis 317 2865 972

Change
Baie Verte—Springdale 447 -1409 15
Cape St. Francis -422 -2118 292

Vote share (%)


2007                    Lib     PC      NDP
Baie Verte—Springdale 17.8% 75.5% 6.7%
Cape St. Francis 11.5% 77.8% 10.6%

2008
Baie Verte—Springdale 35.2% 55.9% 8.9%
Cape St. Francis 7.6% 69.0% 23.4%

Change
Baie Verte—Springdale 17.4% -19.6% 2.2%
Cape St. Francis -3.9% -8.9% 12.8%
Notes:
  • The turnout decline between the general and by-election for the two districts was worse than for the average of the other provincial by-elections in the past decade.
  • The Amazing Vanishing Tory Voter makes another appearance. Or non-appearance. Whatever. 3500 fewer people voted PC in the two districts than just ten months ago. The NDP vote was up, numerically, in both districts; the Liberal vote was mixed.
  • The governing Tories are, on these numbers, roughly back to where they were in the big-but-not-landslide 2003 election. The combined opposition, if the same vote swing were seen across the province in a general election, would see the NDP regain Labrador West, and the Liberals re-take former strongholds in Labrador, on the Northern Peninsula, and on the South and Northeast coasts.
  • The NDP has yet to prove to be Danny's "real opposition", as he likes to call them, until they start, y'know, opposing him. However, taking nearly a quarter of the vote in an exurban St. John's seat should give a few Tories in the more-reliably Dipper city centre some moments of reflection.

5 Comments:

At 1:51 PM, August 28, 2008 , Blogger Rick said...

Regardless of the stats, WJ, you must be elated your man Dan has maintained his popularity with the election of these two Tories keeping the party totals the same.

 
At 1:54 PM, August 28, 2008 , Blogger WJM said...

1) I don't have a "man", much less Dan.

2) Maintained his popularity? Are you completely innumerate, or just partially so?

You still haven't signed your full, real, name, or provided anything in the way of a profile. Bye, "Clarence".

 
At 2:36 PM, August 28, 2008 , Blogger Rick said...

WJ, I really believe you are a Dan fan. Regardless of what the numbers say Dan's popularity must have been a contributing factor to the election of the two candidates. Isn't Dan still running at 70% popularity?

Bob

 
At 2:39 PM, August 28, 2008 , Blogger WJM said...

"Bob"?

Who's "Bob", "Rick"?

Bye, "Bob". Or Rick. Or Clarence.

 
At 12:53 AM, September 09, 2008 , Blogger "nuff said" said...

I hear Danny is still doing great !!! 80+ %

Even plans on saving Canada. Hearing that "ALL the Way" to Ontario. :)

 

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